micah holmquist's irregular thoughts and links
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Thursday, January 30, 2003
Evaluating my "State of the Union Speech Predictions"
Tuesday morning I made some predictions about President George W. Bush's State of the Union speech, which he delivered that evening as planned. With the transcript on screen, I thought it would be fun to evaluate my predictions.
I won't watch but will read the transcript.I didn't watch but did read the transcript.
President George W. Bush will talk about terrorism, Iraq and the economy.He did.
It will be unclear if he understands that these are different issues.I was certainly wrong about this one.
Bush will not explain why he is taking so much time to escalate the war with Iraq even though he says Iraq is an immediate threat.It wasn't exactly rocket science, or even brain surgery to make this prediction since this is the largest logical flaw in Bush's justification war, but I was right. On a related note I listened to a bit of The Rush Limbaugh Show yesterday and I was struck by how many
No new "evidence" will come out, if only because there probably isn't any.Nailed the first part, although it is not known for certain if the second part is the explanation.
There will be more clapping than appears on all other t.v. shows combined during the year.This can not be determined yet but there was certainly more clapping than he deserved.
Opinion polls will show many people liked the speech and now support escalating the war with Iraq.It appears that I was right.
David Horowitz and Andrew Sullivan will praise the speech.Yep and yep.
You know I was named after a prophet.